Weekly Trading Forecasts on Major Pairs (January 30 – February 3, 2017)
Here’s the market outlook for the week:
EURUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
This pair went flat from Monday to Wednesday, not being able to stay above the resistance line at 1.0750. Price then declined a bit, in the context of an uptrend. Price has been going upward gradually since the beginning of this year, and this has led to a bullish bias, which would, however, be challenged in February. The downtrend may even start this week, as EUR is expected to become weak versus other currencies (except JPY) in February.
USDCHF
Dominant bias: Bearish
USDCHF went sideways throughout last week – slightly below the resistance level at 1.0000. Price may temporarily go above that resistance level, but it would later journey further south. Apart from the sideways movement that was seen last week, price has been coming down gradually since the beginning of this year, and this has led to a bearish bias on the market. The bearish bias should continue in the month of February, owing to expected stamina in CHF. A bearish journey in EURUSD may help bring about some transitory rallies on USDCHF, but the overall movement would be bearish in February.
GBPUSD
Dominant bias: Bullish
Cable rallied 280 pips last week, topping at the distribution territory of 1.2650, before the shallow retracement that started on Thursday. Since the low of January 16, price has moved upwards by 650 pips, but the bullish bias that has resulted from that may end soon, as a result of a bearish outlook on the Cable (and some other GBP pairs) in the month of February. While, price could test the distribution territories at 1.2700, 1.2750 and 1.2800, it might not be able to go very far, as chances of serious bearish movements are very high in February.
USDJPY
Dominant bias: Bearish
This trading instrument has been coming down gradually since early January, and that has led to a Bearish Confirmation Pattern in the market. On Thursday, price began to rise and later on Friday, it closed above the demand level at 115.00. Further movement may take price towards the supply levels at 116.00, 116.50 and 117.00; and that may end up invalidating the recent bearish bias. Generally, the outlook on USDJPY for February is bullish.
EURJPY
Dominant bias: Bullish
This cross pair is bullish in the short-term and neutral in the medium-term. Price managed to journey northward last week, creating a short-term bullish signal. In February, the only factor that would help this cross further upwards is the expected weakness in Yen (which would also help most other JPY pairs to rally). In February, an overall movement of at least, 500 pips, is expected in favor of bulls. Nonetheless, there may be some serious but shallow pullbacks along the way.
This forecast is concluded with the quote below:
“It's time to tap into your inner conquistador and become a winning trader.” – Trading Educators
Source: www.tallinex.com
Super Trading Strategies: http://www.advfnbooks.com/books/supertradingstrategies/index.html
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